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Dan Johnson (economist)

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Daniel K. N. Johnson
Born
Daniel Kent Neil Johnson

c. 1969 (age 54–55)
NationalityCanadian-American
Academic career
FieldEconomics
InstitutionColorado College
Wellesley College
Harvard University
Yale University
Alma materYale University
(Ph.D. 1998)
London School of Economics
(M.Sc. 1992)
University of Ottawa
(B.Soc.Sc. 1991)

Daniel Kent Neil Johnson (born c. 1969) is a Canadian-American microeconomist and entrepreneur. He is currently an associate professor in the economics department at Colorado College. His most notable research has been in predicting Olympic medals.[1]

Research

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Johnson's Olympic Medals Model uses five variables: country's per-capita income, population, political structure, climate, and host-nation advantage.[2] The model does not take into account athletic abilities of any star Olympians.[3] It has demonstrated 94% accuracy for predicting national medal counts and 87% accuracy for gold medal counts.[4] Since 2000, Johnson's model has become increasingly more accurate at predicting the number of gold medals a country will win, while becoming marginally less accurate at predicting the total number of medals.[5]

Johnson's other work is in microeconomic analysis, with emphasis on business development. He has worked in the areas of commodity analysis, technology growth, and innovation, among others.

Entrepreneurship

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In 2012, Johnson formed BookCheetah, an online textbook trading service. [6]

Selected publications

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Selected Awards and Honors

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  • Ontario Scholar, 1987
  • University of Ottawa Academic Scholar, 1987–91
  • University of Ottawa Gold Medal, top standing in Honors Social Sciences, 1991
  • Yale Academic Scholar, 1992–96
  • International Honor Society in Economics Merit Certificate, 1995
  • John F. Enders Research Fellow, 1996
  • National Science Foundation Awards for Integration of Research & Education, 1999-2003
  • Banco do Brasil / University of Brasilia Economics Prize, 2003

References

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  1. ^ "The Man Who Predicts the Medals". Forbes.
  2. ^ Gross, Daniel (2 March 2010). "Why the economic model predicting Olympic medal counts drastically underestimated the U.S. Haul". Slate.
  3. ^ "Dan Johnson: "The Man Who Predicts Medals" - Colorado College". Archived from the original on 2016-09-21. Retrieved 2012-12-04.
  4. ^ Futterman, Matthew (13 August 2012). "Our Medal Projections Stick the Landing". Wall Street Journal.
  5. ^ "The dismal dash". The Economist. 28 July 2012.
  6. ^ http://www.coloradoconnection.com/news/story.aspx?id=797492#.ULqWK9PjlN0 [dead link]
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